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Trial Court Perforrmance Standards & Measurement System

Measure 3.2.3: Representativeness of Final Juror Pool

This measure considers the representativeness of the final juror pool. It involves collecting demographic data by questionnaire on all persons reporting for jury duty during a specified period of time. The questionnaire data are compared to the demographic characteristics of the jurisdiction’s population to determine the extent of representativeness.

Planning/Preparation. The census publications or data obtained for Measure 3.2.1 also should contain the demographic data needed for this measurement.

The assistance of an individual familiar with demographic studies would be helpful for this measure. A local college or university likely has a faculty member with such qualifications. The added credibility brought to the examination by such a person could prove helpful if the jury system is ever challenged for selecting prospective jurors who are not representative of the population.

Data Collection. A questionnaire should be distributed to all persons serving, whether they are selected as a trial juror or not. Questionnaires should be used for several days or weeks scattered over a month. At least 200 questionnaires should be used. Excellent response rates can be obtained by asking people to complete the questionnaires before they leave the court. However, this necessitates using a short, quickly completed form.

Data Analysis and Report Preparation. Analysis consists of comparing the demographic characteristics of the population (obtained during the planning/preparation stage to the tabulated data obtained from the jurors. If the population is 30 percent black and the tabulated data indicates that 30 percent of those reporting to the courthouse are black, those reporting perfectly represent the population and there is no disparity between the population and prospective jurors for this particular demographic characteristic. Unfortunately, a difference or disparity usually exists. The two measures of the disparity generally used to measure the difference between the pool or panels (often called the venire) and the population are the absolute and comparative disparity.13 These measures are defined as follows:

  • Absolute disparity: This index measures representativeness as the difference between the proportions of the population and the source list of prospective jurors that are in the category of interest. If the 18 and over population is 30 percent black and the venire is 20 percent, the absolute disparity is 10 percent, or the difference between these two numbers. A criticism of this measure is that it is not sensitive to the relative size of the disparity. That is, a venire that contained no blacks drawn from a population that is 10 percent black would have the same absolute disparity as the 30 percent/20 percent disparity mentioned above. The former situation is much more serious than the latter, which is acceptable in many courts.

  • Comparative disparity: This measure compensates for the limitation in the concept of absolute disparity by relating disparity to the size of the underrepresented group in the population. Using an example similar to the one above, if the venire is 20 percent black and the population is 30 percent, the comparative disparity is 33 percent [(30-20)/30=.33]. A venire with the same absolute disparity (one that contained no blacks in a community that is 10 percent black) would produce a comparative disparity of 100 percent [(10-0)/10=1.0]. Thus, the comparative disparity more properly reflects the difference in these two situations. Comparative disparity is the percentage by which the probability of serving is reduced for people in the category being examined. (Note that this underrepresentation is positive while an overrepresentation is negative—a point which often causes confusion.)

Kairys et al., while admitting that no clear standard values exist based on case law, suggests a maximum comparative disparity of 15 percent.14 An article surveying California case law as of 1987 cites absolute disparity as low as 1.8 percent and comparative disparity of 43 percent and above as significant.15

The significance of the results should be based on all of the following:

  • The findings of the State’s appellate courts in representativeness challenges.

  • The level of the disparity (great disparities require greater actions by the court).

  • The alternatives available through other lists and the feasibility of merging or using these lists.

Finally, regardless of the exact numerical degree of disparity, there is a need to determine how and why the final juror pool is unrepresentative. What are the likely reasons for the disparity? Are out-of-date, invalid, or unreliable sources being relied on in the selection process? Does the unrepresentativeness arise from different attrition rates for jurors from different social groups? What policy changes might be necessary to remedy the situation? By addressing these questions, the court can use Measure 3.2.3 for basic self-improvement.

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13 D.Kairys, J.B. Kadane, and J.P. Lehoczky, "Jury Representation, A Mandate for Multiple Source Lists," California Law Review 65 (1977):776-827.
14 See note 13.
15 Menaster, Spooner, and Greenberg, "Getting a Fair Cross-Section of the Community," Forum (1989):14-21.

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Copyright © 2001 National Center for State Courts
Last Modified: January 23, 2005